Tag Archives: Polls

New Polls Signal Major Problems For Democrats Ahead Of 2022 Midterm Elections

Ryan Saavedra
Apr 10, 2022

New polling released over the last few days shows that Democrat President Joe Biden and his party are in serious trouble as this November’s 2022 midterm elections near.

A CBS News poll found that nearly two thirds of Americans said that the “national economy” was “bad,” which they blame on skyrocketing inflation rates and gas prices:

Higher prices are leading people to say they’re making cutbacks, especially on more discretionary items like entertainment and travel. (That may, of course, have a wider impact on the economy later.) About half are cutting back on food and groceries, and this is especially the case among those with lower incomes. … Biden gets his lowest approval ratings on the economy and inflation. And on gas prices specifically, most think he could be doing more to lower them. Nearly all Republicans share this view. They believe his policies are doing “a lot” to contribute to higher gas prices.

The poll found that the top issues for voters were the economy, inflation, and crime, and that Biden gets “low marks on handling them” with more than 60% of Americans disapproving of the way that Biden has handled all three issues.

NBC polling analyst Steve Kornacki went over polling on Sunday that the network previously conducted showing that college educated men went from being +16 for the Democrats in the last midterm election to now being +10 for the Republicans, a 26-point shift.

Politico reported over the weekend that leading experts have indicated that “angry voters slammed by higher prices and scarred by two years of fighting the pandemic are poised to punish Democrats in midterm elections” and that “with inflation persisting and Russia’s war on Ukraine stoking uncertainty, there are indications that public sentiment is getting worse, not better.”

The report added:

The widely watched University of Michigan consumer confidence survey recently touched its lowest level in almost 11 years. An Associated Press/NORC survey showed that almost 70 percent of Americans think the economy is in poor shape, and 81 percent of those in a poll released by CNBC see a recession coming this year. Gallup found the share of Americans citing inflation as the top issue is now at its highest level since the 1980s.

“The big run-up in gas and food and home prices has really caused great hardship for many households,” said Richard Curtin, a veteran economist who has run the University of Michigan consumer survey since 1976. “And the Biden administration made a critical error in saying it would be transient and people should just tough it out. It wasn’t transient. A lot of people couldn’t just tough it out. And it caused a big loss of confidence in [President Joe Biden’s] policies.”

Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, said, “Most Americans have never experienced high inflation like this, particularly on gas prices, and it has gotten everyone very upset. Behavioral economics reveals that people hate inflation more than they love a low unemployment rate. And the pandemic still colors everything. People have been through the wringer.”

Supermajority of American Voters Believe the Country’s Society, Culture in ‘a State of Decay’

Sophie Mann
January 6th, 2022

More than three-quarters of U.S. voters believe their society is in decline, according to a new poll from the Trafalgar Group in conjunction with the Convention of States Action. 

Overall, 76.8% of respondents said they believe “American society and culture are in a state of decay,” while less than 10% said the country’s society and culture are progressing. About 13% said they were not sure.

Independent voters are more closely aligned with the views of GOP voters, compared to those of Democrats, regarding the culture and society question. While 85.9% of Republicans say the country’s culture lies in a state of decay, 81.8% of independents feel the same way. 

Sixty-one percent of Democrats also concur with that assessment.

Only among Republicans does a higher percentage of voters believe the country is in a state of cultural decay than the percentage who are unsure (10.9% vs. 7.3%,)

The president of the Convention of States Action, Mark Meckler, says that the “horrific” numbers revealed in the poll “go beyond politics to the heart of who we are as a nation and a people.”

“Americans have always been fueled by hope and optimism, and now are united in disgust …It is the grassroots citizens of this great nation, everyday Americans fighting to return us to our foundations, who are going to get us back on course,” he also said. “By permanently reigning in the federal government and restoring the balance of power between DC and the states to its original Constitutional design, we have an opportunity to change these numbers, now and for the future.”

GREAT NEWS: 58% of Voters Say that the Media is “The Enemy of the People”

According to a 2021 Rasmussen phone poll of 1000 likely US voters, about 58% of the American voting public views the media as the “enemy of the people.” Rasmussen Reports has this to say:

A new national telephone and online survey by Rasmussen Reports finds that 58% of Likely U.S. Voters at least somewhat agree that the media are “truly the enemy of the people,” including 34% who Strongly Agree. Thirty-six percent (36%) don’t agree, including 23% who Strongly Disagree.

Three questions were asked of poll participants:

  1. Do you trust the political news you are getting?
  2. How serious of a problem is “fake news” in the media?
  3. Do you agree or disagree with this statement: The media are “truly the enemy of the people”?

The wording of the third question echoed Trump’s 2019 tweet in which he said “Fake News is truly the ENEMY OF THE PEOPLE!”

Here’s how the entirety of the poll results broke down, as Newsmax reports:

  • 76% of Republicans agree with the “enemy of the people” phrase in describing the media.
  • 37% of Democrats agree with the phrase.
  • 61% of independents agree with the phrase.
  • 83% of voters believe “fake news” is a serious problem in the media, compared to 14% who disagree.
  • 92% of Republicans believe “fake news” is a serious problem, compared to 74% of Democrats. 82% of independents believe it to be a serious problem.
  • 37% say they trust the political news they’re getting, compared to 43% who don’t trust it. 20% are not sure.
  • 54% believe that most reporters who write or talk about President Joe Biden are attempting to help him pass his agenda.

Supermajorities of Republicans and Independents agree with the “enemy of the people phrase.” A significant minority of Democrats agree. A huge chunk of the population, >80%, views fake news as a problem. Many view the political news as untrustworthy and think reporters are trying to help Biden rather than report on the news.

Though the poll was conducted in July of 2021, it’s unlikely the news for the news has gotten much better, as the trend has been toward a more and more negative view of the media.

For example, a 2020 Knight and Gallup poll found that “only 20% of Democrats have an unfavorable view [of the media], and 66% say that attacks are not justified.” That number had gone up by at least 17% by the time of the Rasmussen poll, where 37% of Democrats agreed with the “enemy of the people” phrase, showing a strong trend toward distrust of the media.

That trend has likely only accelerated as more and more media narratives have proven false, namely its slanderous lies about Kyle Rittenhouse and false reporting on the Steele dossier. As Lara Trump recently told Fox:

This is nothing new for the mainstream media. In fact, they’ve been trying to tell us what they want us to hear and not the truth for quite some time now. And people have finally started to wake up in America and say, ‘Wait a minute, I don’t think I’ve been getting the facts from these quote-unquote journalists out there,’ because that’s not what they are at all. A lot of these people consider themselves to be political activists, and they disguise themselves as journalists. But I think it’s why you see the distrust in the media at an all-time high in our country right now because you haven’t been able to get the facts about a lot of things. They’ve been pushing a certain narrative for so long.

Noting the trend, Rasmussen reported on November 12th that a full 53% of the American populace now doesn’t trust the political news they’re getting. That’s up 10% from the July survey, a massive increase in the space of a few months. So, Americans’ view of the media is getting worse and worse as its narratives are proven false.

Sources:

https://nworeport.me/2021/11/21/great-news-58-of-voters-say-that-the-media-is-the-enemy-of-the-people/

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/current_events/media/58_of_voters_agree_media_are_enemy_of_the_people

https://www.newsmax.com/us/rasmussen-poll-fake-news-trump/2021/07/09/id/1028100/

Words:

“Will”

The Media Are Lying About The Election Again

Mollie Hemingway
SEPTEMBER 7, 2020

Election 2020 is shaping up to be déjà vu all over again for the news media. In an effort to help push Joe Biden over the finish line, the Washington establishment is going all-in on the easily refuted idea that there has been no change in the presidential race over the last three weeks.

With Two Months To Go, a Steady Presidential Race,” writes Amy Walter of the Cook Political Report.

The Latest Polls, the Great Non-Tightening: This Week in the 2020 Race,” write Astead W. Herndon and Annie Karni of The New York Times.

In a time of disruption and unrest, the presidential race has changed little,” writes Dan Balz of the Washington Post.

After having botched the entire news coverage of the 2016 election, where all the “experts” repeatedly told the American public that Donald Trump had little to no chance of being the Republican nominee and even less a chance of being elected president, corporate media are back at it again, insisting all is well with the Biden campaign and the Democrats are safely on cruise control to take the White House and the Senate. Here’s the truth they are not telling you.

Biden has little enthusiasm for his candidacy. He is taking on an incumbent president with significant first-term accomplishments who has extremely energized supporters, to put it mildly. He had two major opportunities in August to generate some real excitement for his ticket and collect voters in must-win states for Democrats who had abandoned the ticket for Trump in 2016. Think Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.

Biden whiffed on both counts, picking a far-left California senator who has the farthest-left voting record of her colleagues, then hosting a convention and giving an acceptance speech where he did nothing to take on the ascending left that potential voters he needs to win have serious concerns and doubts about.

By contrast, Trump and Republicans aggressively went after traditionally Democratic Party voters among minorities, particularly African-Americans. Night after night of their convention, the Republicans made repeated heartfelt pleas from black politicians, celebrities, and everyday beneficiaries of Republican Party policies.

Republicans threw everything they had, from sound policy arguments (about recent successes Republicans have had with criminal justice reform and policies that improve job and wage growth) to emotionally compelling stories about how unchecked riots in Democratic cities harm African Americans and how Democrat control of the black vote has not been reciprocated with policy achievements that benefit their loyalty. The convention did likewise with other key voting groups that Republicans would like to draw more support from.

Since the race truly began a few weeks ago, around the time Kamala Harris was selected as Democrat nominee for vice president, it’s worth looking at some of the movement shown in markets.

On August 1, Biden had a 25-point edge in the betting odds. By September 1, Trump had completely made up that deficit and the race was even among the betting public.

In Florida, a state the Trump campaign must win, Biden’s lead of 8.4 points in the RealClearPolitics average at the end of July sits now at 1.8, with the latest poll showing President Trump with a three-point lead. Quinnipiac, a pollster that is not perceived as Trump-friendly, shows Biden’s lead plummeting 10 points, from 13 to just three.

In Pennsylvania, an absolute must-win state for the Biden campaign, Biden’s lead of 8.5 in the RealClearPolitics average near the end of July has been cut in half to 4.2. Monmouth University, again another pollster not viewed as friendly to Trump, shows Biden’s lead falling eight points, from 11 to three points.

In MichiganWisconsin, and North Carolina, Biden’s lead from the end of July to the end of August has been cut significantly, according to the Real Clear Politics average. Arizona is the only state where Biden’s lead has grown in the RealClearPolitics average. It should be noted that Arizona’s RCP average was significantly affected by a single outlying FOX News poll that claims Trump is down nine points in the state, which he won in 2016. CNBC, by contrast, has Biden up by only two points.

Incredibly, both NBC News and the Cook Political Report continue to rate Florida as “Lean Democrat” according to their “experts.” No offense, but do they think people are stupid? This is a state Trump won by more than one point four years ago and a state Democrats were unable to carry in 2018, when they lost both the governor and senate races. The latest Quinnipiac poll shows a 10-point momentum toward Trump, where he trails within the margin of error, where Trafalgar has the president ahead by three points. (For what it’s worth, Trafalgar was the only pollster to correctly poll key states in the 2016 and 2018 races.)

The media and the Democrats may not like it, but this race is clearly different from where it was at the end of June, where Trump’s job approval had been going down for three straight months and he bottomed out at 41 percent in the RealClearPolitics average. Today Trump’s job approval is on a three-month upswing and is over 44 percent in the RealClearPolitics average. Three points may not seem like a lot, but in the real world where the critical battleground states will likely be decided by less than that amount, three points are the difference between winning and losing.

So here is the cold reality the media are for some reason refusing to tell people as the country rounds Labor Day and this campaign really gets into high gear. This race is effectively tied today, Trump has momentum, and Biden is going to have to campaign hard, energize his voters, and earn it if he hopes to unseat the incumbent.

Mollie Ziegler Hemingway is a senior editor at The Federalist. She is Senior Journalism Fellow at Hillsdale College and a Fox News contributor. She is the co-author of Justice on Trial: The Kavanaugh Confirmation and the Future of the Supreme Court. Follow her on Twitter at @mzhemingway